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Project Appraisal and Risk Management

A PMI Registered Training Course

Project Appraisal and Risk Management

Drivers and Methodologies towards Project Success

NASBA PMI

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Course Summary

Sound investment decision–making in the public and private sectors is key to ensuring the sustainable health & growth of the economy. In this GLOMACS Project Appraisal and Risk Management (PARM) training course, you will acquire knowledge & tools to conduct project appraisal.

If an important capital project does not achieve the financial and strategic goals of the promoter organisation, it can result in financial losses, waste of resources and impacts across wider reputational spheres. If that failure stems from not applying the tools and techniques of modern project appraisal, risk analysis or project selection, these are avoidable errors.

The decision whether or not to invest a substantial amount in a new capital project can be based on a range of project analysis tools and techniques, backed up by rigorous, systematic evaluation of alternative options, risk factors and funding solutions. The end result is improved decision making and increased effectiveness of projects.    

This GLOMACS training course will highlight:

  • The importance of thorough project appraisal and selection
  • The advantages, disadvantages and practical applications of various appraisal methods
  • Key economic and financial analysis principles
  • Modern concepts of risk assessment and techniques for risk management
  • The increasingly important role of public-private partnership (PPP) solutions in delivering successful projects
Course Outline

Module I: Project Appraisal: Identification, Policy Analysis & Selection

Day 1

Strategic Context of Project Decision Analysis

  •  What is Project Management Decision Analysis?
  • Project Management Maturity
  • Managing Programs and Portfolios
  • Strategic Planning and Policy Context
  • Typical Project Organisation Structures and Implications for Project Investment Decisions
  • Using Subcontractors
  • Key Issues Addressed by Project Appraisal
  • Market Analysis
  • Technical Analysis
  • Environmental and Social Analysis
  • Understanding Stakeholders
Day 2

Defining Project Scope and Estimating Timeline

  • Project Life Cycle
  • Project Initiation
  • Uncertainty in Project Selection and Planning Decisions, Stage Gate Approach
  • Project Trade-offs
  • Understanding and Managing Project Scope
  • Projecting Project Timeline
Day 3

Evaluating Project Costs

  • Fundamentals of Budgeting and Cost-control
  • Estimating Methods
  • Dealing with Uncertainty in Estimates
  • Resource Allocation and Cashflow Estimates
  • Value for Money Decisions
  • Important Cost Considerations: Whole of Life Costs, Cost of Quality and Uncertainty
  • The Contents of a Project Plan
Day 4

Project Analysis Under Risk And Uncertainty

  • Project Risk Considerations
  • Risk and Contingency Analysis
  • Thought Leadership on Risk and Uncertainty in Projects
  • Making Rational Strategic Choices
  • Selecting Projects to Meet Organizational Goals
  • Decisions under Certainty, Risk and Uncertainty
Day 5

Strategic Project Selection

  • Project Feasibility Studies – An integrated evaluation
  • Introduction to Scenario and Sensitivity Analysis - Decision Trees
  • Psychological Aspects of Investment Decisions: Before You Make That Big Decision
  • Influencing Investment Decisions

Module II: Project Appraisal: Financial and Economic Factors

Day 6

Source of Finance

  • Potential Funding Sources
  • Financing Options:
    • Long Term Source of Finance
    • Short Term Source of Finance
  • Evaluation of the Types of Finance
  • Equity Finance
  • Debt Finance
  • Hybrid Finance
  • The Cost of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
  • Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
  • Measures of Risks
Day 7

Investment Decisions

  • The Most Appropriate Valuation Techniques for Different Economic Sectors
  • Applying Time-adjusted Measures
  • Social Cost-benefit Analysis in Project Appraisal
    • Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and Payback Method
  • Decision-making using NPV
  • Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR)
  • Integration of Financial, Economic and Social Appraisals to Investment Decisions
  • Impact of Inflation on Financial Viability and Risks
  • Foreign Exchange Risks
  • Financial and Economic Analysis for Selecting a High-quality Project
  • Sensitivity Analysis, Scenario Analysis and Simulation
Day 8

Managing, Controlling and Modelling Cash flow

  • Development of the Cash Flow Statement
  • Cash vs. Profit
  • The Cash Conversion Cycle
  • Calculating and Managing the Cash Flow Cycle
  • Cash Flow Ratios
  • Working Capital Ratios
  • The Cost of Maintaining Working Capital
  • Maintaining the Optimum Level of Working Capital
  • Preparing a Monthly Cash Flow Forecast
Day 9

The Challenge of Financial Economic Decision-Making

  • The Practice of Financial / Economic Analysis
  • The Value-creating Company
  • Corporate Value and Shareholder Value
  • A Dynamic Perspective of Business
  • The Agency Problem and Corporate Governance
  • What information and data to use?
  • The Nature of Financial Statements
  • The Context of Financial Analysis and Decision-making
Day 10

Revisit the Key Concepts in Decision Making

  • Course Summary and Checklists
  • Cash Budgets & Capital Budgets Reviewed
  • Financial Skills and Further Development
  • Re-visit Cash Flow Management
  • Key Challenges in Decision making

Module III: Project Risk Analysis & Management

Day 11

Project Structure Selection

  • Planning Structures for Delivering Projects
  • Defining a risk tolerance baseline for all activity, plus incremental procedures for high-value, complex projects
  • Scaling risk management to the size and complexity of a programme or project
  • Project structures to address risks from the points of view of:
    • Sponsors
    • Lenders
    • Investors
    • Contractors
  • Concession Contract Models
  • Foreign Direct Investments
  • Joint Ventures
  • Service Outsourcings
  • Keeping Structures & Financing Flexible to Accommodate Changes
Day 12

Risk Identification & Assessment

  • Risk Identification
  • Developing a Risk Matrix with Risk Ratings based on Probability and Impact
  • Types of Risk
    • Hazard Risks
    • Financial (business) Risks
    • Operational (technical) Risks
    • Strategic Risks
    • Internal & Finance Risks
    • External Risks
  • Risk Assessment / Analysis
  • Sensitivity Analysis – (“what if analysis”)
    • Identifying Risks
    • Identifying the Impacts of Risk
    • Estimating the Likelihood of Risks Occurring
    • Estimate the Cost of Risk
  • Risk Response / Mitigation Planning 
  • Monitoring and Communicating Risk
Day 13

Risk Management

  • Objective of Project Risk Management
  • Tools and Techniques for Risk Management
    • Avoidance – modifying a project plan
    • Transference – shifting consequences and responsibilities
    • Mitigation – preventative action
    • Acceptance – accepting risk outcomes
  • Limitations of Risk Management
  • Use of Insurance & External / 3rd Party Mechanisms in Risk Strategies
  • Constructing a Risk-adjusted Project Cost Model
  • Using Risk Factors to Test Affordability
  • The Roles of Incentives, Sanctions and Risk Sharing
  • Using Project Design, Financial and Organizational Arrangements as Risk Management Tools
Day 14

The PPP Contract Model

  • The General Principles of How Project Appraisal, Selection, Design and Risk Management ensure more measurable, controllable, successful projects
  • What are Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs)?
  • The Dynamics of PPPs & How Key Risk Areas can be Managed
  • Use of PPPs in Different Sectors and Services
  • The Roles and Relationships of Public and Private Parties
  • Principal Ways PPP Contracts Can Be Properly Managed
  • What are the Lessons for Adopting and/or Adapting PPP Models Across Future Projects?
Day 15

Project Funding Solutions

  • Embedding Risk Management into Normal Operations
  • Allotting Appropriate Resources for Risk Management Activities
  • Integrating Risk Management into Project Protocols and Controls
  • Risk Management Monitoring and Control throughout the Project Lifecycle to Improve and Guide Risk Management Processes
  • Evaluating Effectiveness of Risk Response Actions (and making adjustments within the project cycle)
  • Summaries of Conclusions and Group Discussions
Certificates
  • On successful completion of this training course, GLOMACS Certificate will be awarded to the delegates. Continuing Professional Education credits (CPE): In accordance with the standards of the National Registry of CPE Sponsors, one CPE credit is granted per 50 minutes of attendance.
  • The certificate will also have a PMI Course Identifier, which will enable the learners to claim Professional Development Units (PDUs) / Contact Hours from Project Management Institute (PMI) towards certification or recertification of PMI credentials.
Providers and Associations

Endorsed Education Provider

NASBA
PMI

In Association With

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NASBA PMI

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Saudi GLOMACS is the official Saudi Arabian division of GLOMACS International (glomacs.com), delivering internationally recognised training courses both within Saudi Arabia and across international locations. Our training courses are aligned with the highest professional and institutional standards, supported by a strong understanding of the professional landscape in Saudi Arabia and access to global expertise.

Saudi GLOMACS enables professionals and organisations to strengthen leadership, capability, and long-term excellence through consistently high-quality learning experiences.

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Saudi GLOMACS is a Saudi-based professional training provider delivering courses tailored to the Saudi market and applicable internationally. It operates within the global GLOMACS framework and draws on more than three decades of international training experience.

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